Working Group Presentations

Accelerated – Ground Operations Assessment Tool

MAJ Robert Horey, Steve Sallot

Center for Army Analysis

The Accelerated – Ground Operations Assessment Tool (A-GOAT) is a dynamic, web-based wargaming module built in Python using Streamlit, designed to model multi-phase ground engagements across multiple battle areas.

Applying M&S to Hit Probability Determination for Direct Fire Weapon Systems

Frank Small

U.S. Army Test and Evaluation Command Aberdeen Test Center

Hit probability of direct fire weapon systems may be determined by systematically tallying fixed biases, variable biases, and random errors.

ATEC's Blueprint for Modern Data Governance

Alexander Attia

U.S. Army Test and Evaluation Command

In modern military testing, the proliferation of sophisticated sensors and instrumentation has resulted in exponential data growth.

ATEC's Integrated Mission Management System (AIMMS)

Kristopher Weygant

U.S. Army Test and Evaluation Command

The ATEC Integrated Mission Management System (AIMMS) is a modernized, cloud-based software platform designed to transform how the Army Test and Evaluation Command (ATEC) manages its critical operations.

AutoTiebreak: A Hierarchical, Multi-Stage Statistical Framework for Army Selection Boards

COL Thomas Malejko, Nicholas Blasco

U.S. Army Human Resources Command

The Army's centralized board process generally requires each board to produce a clean, 1-to-N Order of Merit List (OML).

Building Offensive AI with Video Games

Robert Skinker, Daniel Baller

Artificial Intelligence Integration Center

Automatic Target Recognition (ATR) leverages artificial intelligence to detect and identify threats and represents a critical capability for offensive AI applications.

Electromagnetic Warfare Fundamentals for Operations Research

Luisa Carlon, MAJ Melinda Sparks, Alfonso Pesqueira

Transformation Decision Analysis Center

As the electromagnetic operational environment (EMOE) continues to become increasingly congested and contested, it may present an enduring challenge for senior military leaders.

TLE Calculator Tool Validation

Matthew Banta, Clinton Scarborough

Transformation Decision Analysis Center

The Warfighter uses a wide array of Positioning, Navigation, and Timing (PNT) sensors to detect targets and estimate a target's location.

Unlocking Latent Data: Leveraging Generative AI for Automated Transcript Analytics in USMA Admissions

COL Joseph Lindquist, COL David Beskow, LTC Nathan Pfaff

United States Military Academy

U.S. Military Academy

Evaluating nationwide academic merit presents a significant operational challenge for the United States Military Academy (USMA) admissions process.

Integrated Analytics: Informing Decisions in a Deployed Environment

CPT Denise Lopez

Center for Army Analysis

An ORSA officer describes how deployed analytics and automated dashboards supported operational assessments and resource decisions for Security Assistance Group - Ukraine.

End-to-End Logistics Supportability Analysis Methodology

Ashley Savio

Transformation Decision Analysis Center

TDAC presents an End-to-End Logistics Supportability Analysis methodology designed to keep analytical support current throughout acquisition.

The Medical Resource Capability and Logistics (MRCL) Model: A High-Resolution Model of Patient Care with Role-of-Care Flexibility

Gregory Reed, John Zeto, Alexandra Donkers, Tracy Negas

Teledyne Brown Engineering / Naval Health Research Center

Teledyne Brown Engineering; Naval Health Research Center

The MRCL model and its Analytic Capability Tool simulate patient care and resource use to support medical treatment facility planning.

Aligning End User Incentives

Brandon Des Jardins, Daniel Baller

Artificial Intelligence Integration Center

Every day, military aviation units across the globe manage thousands of aircraft maintenance actions and operational status updates.

Closed-Form Solutions for Air Drag of Fragments for Vulnerability/Lethality Modeling

Leonard Lombardo

Transformation Decision Analysis Center

In support of the mission to analyze system vulnerability and lethality, the Transformation Decision Analysis Center (TDAC) has developed models to represent lethal damage from high explosive (HE) munitions, accounting for both blast and fragmentation.

Enabling Model Integration using MOSA in the Modeling and Simulation Enterprise Innovation Environment

Christina Rinaudo, James E. Richards, James A. Richards, William Leonard

U.S. Army Engineer Research and Development Center

U.S. Army Engineer Research & Development Center

Modeling and simulation (M&S) is used to support a variety of analysis that informs senior leader decisions ranging from concept evaluation to capability assessments.

Exploring Comparative Rating Methods for Army Talent Evaluation

Ian Moss

Naval Postgraduate School

Army organizations rely on subjective evaluations to identify high performers, support promotion decisions, and guide talent management.

Isolating the Institutional Lift: Data-Driven Analytics and Behavioral Nudges in USMA Summer Recruitment

COL Joseph Lindquist, LTC Nathan Pfaff

United States Military Academy

Optimizing the recruitment and matriculation funnel requires a precise, data-driven understanding of how specific institutional touchpoints influence candidate behavior.

logiStat: A Generalizable Simulation Analysis Tool

MAJ Erica Mikelson

Transformation Decision Analysis Center

Operations research analysts across the national security enterprise rely on simulations that generate rich, multivariate datasets.

Non-Kinetic Effects in Campaign Wargaming

Brandon Wallace, Evan Schnoll

Center for Army Analysis

Modern militaries increasingly rely on Non-Kinetic Effects (NKEs) to shape the battlefield and support traditional warfighting functions, yet wargames struggle to represent their impact.

Real-Time Detection of Maritime and Aviation Anomalies for ARCYBER’s LOKI Platform

COL David Beskow, 2LT Zachary Reynolds, 2LT Eric Dailey, 2LT Kristian Nordby

United States Military Academy

U.S. Military Academy

Army Cyber Command (ARCYBER) increasingly relies on rapid, data driven awareness of global activity across the maritime and aviation domains.

Screening DOE for High-Dimensionality M&S Studies

Douglas Ray

DEVCOM Armaments Center

Computational modeling and simulation (M&S) enable military analysts and engineers to study complex systems as an alternative to physical experimentation which can be expensive, resource-intensive, and in some situations, impossible.

Quantifying Strategic Value in USARPAC Exercise Planning

CPT Derek Swanson, MAJ Nicholas Coronato, LTC Josh Deehr

United States Military Academy

U.S. Army Pacific

A value-based model compares the strategic contribution and cost of USARPAC exercises to support prioritization under resource constraints.

Development of Operational Vehicle Profiles for Fuel Estimation

Joe Giannattasio

Transformation Decision Analysis Center

TDAC combines training vehicle usage data with terrain information and fuel models to improve operational fuel estimates.

Medical Planners' Toolkit Demonstration

Jonathan Davis, Tracy Negas

Teledyne Brown Engineering / Naval Health Research Center

Teledyne Brown Engineering; Naval Health Research Center

A discrete-event simulation evaluates expeditionary medical platforms, casualty recovery, and patient care across contested maritime operations.

Assessing Adversary Use of Publicly Available Information (PAI) Against U.S. Corps Operations to Predict Deployed Army Brigades

Shaun Ketner

Naval Postgraduate School

Corps-level planners weigh operational-security decisions before they have complete information, which routine activities leak the most signal, and whether an adversary can aggregate a deployment picture from data the U.S.

Availability Modeling Using a Suite of Generalized Analytic Tools

Alexander Bertram

Transformation Decision Analysis Center

The Transformation Decision Analysis Center (TDAC) has developed a new, streamlined, suite of analytic tools that enable customers to quickly and effectively evaluate sustainment and maintainability metrics.

Casualty Evacuation Modeling with LBC

Bradley Atkinson

Transformation Decision Analysis Center

Medical and Casualty Evacuation Modeling using Logistics Battle Command (LBC) is a critical component of recent future force capability studies.

Confidence-Driven Emitter Geolocation and Electromagnetic Environment Visualization Using LOB and LAM Data

Gardner Thompson

Transformation Decision Analysis Center

This work presents a line-of-bearing (LOB) geolocation approach developed to improve visualization and understanding of data generated by Tactical Signals Intelligence systems.

Experience-Based Learning and the Recalibration of Error Judgments through Serious Games

Jan Landsiedel, Joseph Verbovszky, Marko von Koerber

Bundeswehr Planning Office

German Wargaming Center; Bundeswehr Naval Command

How can deliberately designed learning experiences contribute to psychological safety within organizations?

External Representations of CAD Files

Logan Austin, Joshua Baker

Transformation Decision Analysis Center

Accurately representing complex geometries is critical for defense applications ranging from Joint Weaponeering System (JW S) assessments to advanced operational visualizations.

From Silos to Solutions: Standardizing T&E Financial Data to Accelerate RDTE & Maximize Warfighter Capabilities

Pauline Griffin, Ryelle Pattuinan, Viviana Lopez

U.S. Army Test and Evaluation Command Yuma Proving Ground

To maintain a decision advantage in fiscally constrained and complex operational environments, Army Test & Evaluation (T&E) resource managers and data analysts must transition from reactive reporting to proactive financial analysis.

Supporting Personnel Recruitment Processes Through Workflow Automation and Decision Support Tools

CPT Caitlin Marriner, CPT Samuel Mahle, MAJ Madison Oliver

United States Military Academy

U.S. Military Academy

Many Army organizations conduct recruitment, selection, and talent management activities using personnel who perform these duties in addition to their primary operational responsibilities.

Optimizing Equipment Readiness through Vantage-Driven Automated Maintenance Alerts

Krista Hughes, Joshua Calvert

U.S. Army Test and Evaluation Command Yuma Proving Ground

A Vantage-based maintenance pipeline combines Power BI dashboards and automated alerts to help personnel address overdue and upcoming maintenance.

Enhanced Heavy Equipment Transport (EHET) and Medium Equipment Trailer (MET) Analysis

Christopher Hopkins

Center for Army Analysis

This analysis evaluates the mix of heavy equipment transporters and trailers needed to support changing Army maneuver platforms.

Training and Evaluation Framework for Army Embedding Models

MAJ Jonathan Kasprisin, MAJ David Allen

Transformation Decision Analysis Center

An Army-focused framework develops datasets, fine-tunes embedding models, and evaluates retrieval quality, cost, and latency.

A Stochastic Approach to Representing Emissions Control Behavior in AFSIM

Alex Becker

Transformation Decision Analysis Center

This research implements a stochastic framework within the Advanced Framework for Simulation, Integration and Modeling (AFSIM) to characterize Emission Control (EMCON) behaviors of threat air defense systems.

AI For Vulnerability Analysis

Aesia Cohen, William Klieber, Lori Flynn, Mitchell Perry

DEVCOM C5ISR Center

Carnegie Melon University Software Engineering Institute

Army DEVCOM C5ISR and Carnegie Melon University Software Engineering Institute (CMU SEI) will demonstrate initial results from integration of LASAA (LLMs for Adjudication of Static Analysis Alerts) into the Software Assurance Toolset (SwAT ).

Assessing Adversary Use of Publicly Available Information (PAI) Against U.S. Corps Operations to Predict Deployed Army Brigades

Shaun Ketner

Naval Postgraduate School

Corps-level planners weigh operational-security decisions before they have complete information, which routine activities leak the most signal, and whether an adversary can aggregate a deployment picture from data the U.S.

Expanding Combat Simulation Results with XGBoost Under Resource Constraints

Kristopher Smith

Transformation Decision Analysis Center

Combat modeling is an indispensable tool for modern defense analysis.

Improved Ground Vehicle Representations for Human Factors & Combat Modeling

Gianna Patti

Transformation Decision Analysis Center

Vehicle mobility is represented in numerous models and simulations for a variety of purposes, often at different levels of resolution and fidelity.

Modernization of the Active TDY Request Ecosystem: A Full Lifecycle Approach to Automated Travel Management and Mission Planning

Krista Hughes, Kimberly Norzagaray Orozco

U.S. Army Test and Evaluation Command Yuma Proving Ground

This project encompasses the end-to-end modernization of the Active TDY (Temporary Duty) Requests application, delivering a comprehensive ecosystem for Department of War ( DoW ) travel logistics, financial oversight, and mission planning.

Non-Kinetic Effects Modeling & Analysis Working Group

Marcus Gula, Scott Pridgeon

Transformation Decision Analysis Center

In FY24, the Non-Kinetic Effect (NKE) Modeling and Analysis Working Group (MAW G) was established to assess gaps in the modeling of NKEs.

Shattering the Illusion of Certainty The Leader's Guide to AI's 4 Deadly Sins

Michael Hay

U.S. Army Combined Arms Center

Generative Artificial Intelligence and Large Language Models (LLMs) offer unprecedented analytical speed, yet their integration into military command posts introduces structural vulnerabilities.

Wargaming Contested Logistics in the 2040 Operational Environment

MAJ Erica Mikelson

Transformation Decision Analysis Center

Recent Army Title 10 wargames investigated future operational environments, focusing on systems warfare and advanced warfighting concepts.

Medical Enabler Demand Analysis (MEDA)

Natalie Bernard, Charles “Anthony” Donley

Center for Army Analysis

CAA explains how casualty estimates, medical planning parameters, and campaign modeling inform medical enabler force requirements.

Army Munition Model Overhaul

MAJ Joshua Clevenger

Center for Army Analysis

CAA describes improvements to the Army Munitions Model Overhaul, including jammed environments and interceptor effects.

AI-Enabled Decision Support for Combatant Commands: Integrating Value Modeling and Large Language Models to Assess Strategic Alignment

William Leonard, James Richards, Mary Mitchell, George Gallarno

U.S. Army Engineer Research & Development Center

Combatant Commands (CCMDs) must continuously evaluate and prioritize complex portfolios of proposed Operations, Activities, and Investments (OAIs) to ensure alignment with dynamic Operational Plans and theater campaign strategies.

Automating Personnel Assessment and Feedback Through The R Shiny Platform

Michael Hay

U.S. Army Combined Arms Command

U.S. Army Combined Arms Center

Effective talent management and leader development require scalable, data-driven assessment tools.

Boosting Power BI Efficiency: Practical Techniques for Army ORSA Analysts

Daniel Baller

Artificial Intelligence Integration Center

With the adoption of Microsoft 365 and the Power Platform suite, Power BI has become a critical tool for delivering timely and actionable insights to senior leaders across Army commands.

Centralized Data Repository for Future Studies Program (FSP) Models and Simulations

Katherine Urabe

Transformation Decision Analysis Center

TDAC supported ongoing Army modernization efforts by providing rigorous quantitative analysis to inform capability development and future force design.

Human-in-the-Loop AI for Reliable Wargame Dialogue Synthesis

Austin McGahan

Transformation Decision Analysis Center

Wargames generate extensive dialogue, rich in operational insight, but converting that dialogue into clear, written outputs ready for synthesis remains labor intensive.

Modernizing Safe Separation Analysis: A Novel Automated PRISM Workflow for Submunition Hazard Modeling

Tahmim Ahmed

DEVCOM Armaments Center

Standard Safe Separation analyses for artillery munitions traditionally rely on the Joint Technical Coordinating Group / Munition Effects (JTCG/ME) Computer Program for General Full Spray Personnel Mean Area of Effects (MAE) Computations to determine the probability of incapacitation based on fragment tracking and 3D spatial mapping.

Reliability Analysis Approach for AI-enabled Air and Missile Defense Systems

Nathan Herbert, Martin Wayne

Transformation Decision Analysis Center

The Army is modernizing its air and missile defense architecture to create a unified network of previously siloed sensors and interceptor systems.

Revolutionizing Power Electronics: Unleashing Machine Learning for Next-Generation Design

Dr. Lav Thyagarajan, Dr. Benjamin Luckett

Eaton Corporation

Power electronics design is becoming increasingly challenging as engineers must simultaneously optimize efficiency, power density, cost, thermal performance, reliability, electromagnetic compatibility (EMC), and manufacturability across a rapidly expanding design space.

The Efficient Frontier of Force-Design Experimentation: Competitive Play as a Low-Marginal-Cost Hypothesis Engine

Kristan Wheaton, James Markley

U.S. Army War College

Structured play in Shadows and Steel 2045 generates data to identify and test force-design hypotheses before more costly analysis.

Sustaining the Future Army in a USINDOPACOM Conflict

Marissa Liebman, DaRon Wilkins

Transformation Decision Analysis Center

Sustainment analyses examine commodity distribution and casualty evacuation to inform future Army force structures in contested maritime environments.

Using AI to Fill the Gaps: A Practical Approach to Improving Army Data Quality

Bonvie Fosam, Olivia Beattie, Daniel Baller, Dominic Thomas

Artificial Intelligence Integration Center

LMI

LLM-based workflows use unstructured data to fill missing fields and improve the completeness and analytical value of Army Vantage datasets.

Applying Artificial Neural Networks to Predict the Effectiveness of Vehicle Protection Systems & Using Power BI for an Enhanced Deliverable

Joseph O’Bruba

DEVCOM Ground Vehicle Systems Center

The US Army is often able to provide high-quality data from physical experiments and/or physics-based simulations, but the quantity of said data is often low given cost and/or time constraints.

Assessing Army Watercraft Vessels with Vessel-to-Mission Effectiveness

Anali Crumpton

Transformation Decision Analysis Center

To meet evolving global challenges and the priorities of the new administration, US Army senior leaders have refocused efforts to develop a watercraft fleet strategy to meet anticipated operational needs over the next 15 years.

Evaluation of Cannon Tubes and Life-Cycle Management Through Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning

Andrew Hughes, Savanna Silva

U.S. Army Test and Evaluation Command Yuma Proving Ground

Background & Challenges: Current gun tube inspection processes face significant operational hurdles.

Modeling High Energy Laser Weapon Systems in Army Operational Analysis

William Ballard

Transformation Decision Analysis Center

High Energy Laser (HEL) systems have garnered increased attention in the past few years for their perceived advantages over kinetic weapon systems.

Modernizing FA49 Officer Qualification: Quantifying and Closing the ORSA Skill Gap

MAJ Nicholas Coronato, MAJ Devon Zillmer, Carolyn Fiore, Aaron Vermeersch

U.S. Army Pacific

FA49 Proponent Office; U.S. Army Operational Evaluation Command

This study evaluates how the FA49 Proponent can more effectively and efficiently transition new VTIP officers into the Operations Research and Systems Analysis (ORSA) profession amid rapid growth and rising analytical demands.

Resilient Shield: Hybrid Analytical Wargaming for Critical Infrastructure, Data Capture, and Rapid Insight Generation

Kurt Reynolds, Nicholas Lazzarevich, James Starling

U.S. Army War College

Homeland defense and defense critical infrastructure problems are difficult to analyze because disruptions rarely remain isolated to a single node, organization, or decision echelon.

Statistical Methodologies for Modeling Electrical Shorting in Parallel Metal Surfaces from Multiple Fragment Penetrations

James Edwards

Transformation Decision Analysis Center

The Transformation Decision Analysis Center (TDAC) conducts analysis to inform design of lethal and survivable systems.

UnTAPping potential through swarm modeling

Marcus Jones

UK Defence Science and Technology Laboratory

The UK’s Defence Science & Technology Laboratory (Dstl) Land Systems Program is developing functional system concepts in support of the British Army.

A-Posteriori Wargaming: Rapid, Data-Driven Course of Action Analysis for Multi-Domain Operations Using Lightweight Deterministic Modeling

Kyle Parker

7ID/Multi-Domain Command-Pacific

A case study examines rapid, deterministic course-of-action modeling to compare tactical outcomes and resource trade-offs for Multi-Domain Command-Pacific.

Joint Medical Planning Tool Demonstration

John Zeto, Christian Fletcher, Tracy Negus, Andrew Gravel

Teledyne Brown Engineering / Naval Health Research Center

Teledyne Brown Engineering; Naval Health Research Center

A live demonstration introduces the Joint Medical Planning Tool, including its capabilities, assumptions, outputs, and planned enhancements.

Consolidating Army Ground Maintenance Analytics Platforms to Enhance Information Dominance

Bonvie Fosam, Daniel Baller

Artificial Intelligence Integration Center

A unified Vantage-based approach connects operational and enterprise ground-maintenance analytics to support shared readiness assessments.

Best Practices for Scaling Model Development

Martino Stino

Center for Army Analysis

The Combat Effects Analysis Division (CE) at the Center for Army Analysis (CAA) has successfully transitioned its modeling and simulation workflow to overcome previous limitations in computing power and network restrictions.

CAA Analyst Professional Development Guide

David del Cuadro-Zimmerman

Center for Army Analysis

The modern analytic workforce is diverse, with analysts possessing varied backgrounds, skill levels, and career aspirations.

HPC as a Resource for Modeling, Simulation, and Analysis

Christina Rinaudo, James Richards, William Leonard, Kelly Dalton

U.S. Army Engineer Research and Development Center

U.S. Army Engineer Research & Development Center

The High Performance Computing Modernization Program (HPCMP) is a DoW-wide program that provides advanced computing capabilities and expertise to solve critical DoW challenges.

Machine-Learning–Enabled Satellite Maneuver Detection for Space Domain Awareness

MAJ Madison Oliver, COL David Beskow

U.S. Military Academy

This project advances analytic methods for detecting satellite maneuvers using supervised machine learning in support of U.S.

Modeling Army Enablers: A VBA-Based Simulation Approach to Vehicle Requirements and Mission Analysis

Miguel Trujillo

Center for Army Analysis

To further enhance the Center for Army Analysis’ (CAA’s) analytical support regarding force structure requirements, CAA has developed a suite of Visual Basic for Application (VBA) tools that inform usage on specific vehicles for various scenarios.

Optimizing Army Readiness through Modernization

MAJ Madison Oliver, COL David Beskow

United States Military Academy

U.S. Military Academy

This project extends the Readiness Decision Impact Model (RDIM) developed by LTC Joe Pedersen and builds upon the Center for Army Analysis (CAA) Force Structure Model to create an integrated readiness optimization framework within the Palantir SIPR Vantage environment.

Fielding at the Speed of Relevance

Walter Saine, Dr. David Mortin

Transformation Decision Analysis Center

This presentation outlines testing, modeling, reliability assessment, and risk-reduction methods intended to accelerate equipment fielding.

Medical Planners' Toolkit Demonstration

John Zeto, Alexandra Donkers, Christian Fletcher, Tracy Negas

Teledyne Brown Engineering / Naval Health Research Center

Teledyne Brown Engineering; Naval Health Research Center

A live Medical Planners’ Toolkit demonstration connects casualty estimates, patient conditions, hospitalization resources, and medical supply requirements.

Time-Series Anomaly Detection for Tactical Vehicle Platforms

Aastha Bhatt

Transformation Decision Analysis Center

Unsupervised anomaly detection evaluates tactical vehicle sensor data for early signs of subsystem degradation and maintenance needs.

Bridging Qualitative Planning and Quantitative Analysis: The AI-Enabled Rapid Operational Approximation Model (ROAM)

Grant Bilker, Tahmim Ahmed

DEVCOM Armaments Center

ROAM combines LLM-assisted scenario preparation with a deterministic analytical engine and human validation to support traceable operational estimates.